Showing posts with label Straw-man Fallacy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Straw-man Fallacy. Show all posts

June 15, 2008

JFK, Noam Chomsky, and the Straw-man debate about Vietnam Withdrawl



Noam Chomsky has often been criticized for some of his positions regarding the JFK assassination and 9/11. I came across this interesting critique by Michael Morrissey in an open letter addressed to Chomsky and others.

"It might interest you to know that I tried, in the course of a long and intensive correspondence with Chomsky (before Rethinking Camelot came out), to get him to state his position [about US policy towards Vietnam after the JFK assassination] as follows: JFK's withdrawal plan was reversed, after the assassination, because the assessment of the military situation was reversed (also after the assassination). This is in fact his position, but you will see that in his book, as in his letters to me, he refuses to put it this way because he is so determined to make the truly specious argument that "there was no withdrawal policy." The reason is obvious to me, and I told him so: Once you admit that there was a radical policy change immediately after the assassination (exactly when doesn't matter), you must deal with the question of the possible relation between the two events... That means you are automatically involved in "conspiracy theory," which is anathema to Chomsky (and others like Alexander Cockburn and the late I.F. Stone) for I suppose ideological or psychological reasons. The other alternative is to admit the withdrawal policy reversal but deny any relation to the assassination, as Arthur Schlesinger does. This is naive and irrational, as Schlesinger's hysterical condemnation of the Stone film amply demonstrates. Chomsky does not want to appear naive and irrational, so he has manufactured a tortuous and false argument that there was never a withdrawal policy ("without victory") in the first place.
Chomsky's argument is false because Newman's thesis (that JFK was secretly
planning to withdraw regardless of the military situation) is 1) speculative, as
Chomsky correctly says, and 2) unnecessary to establish the fact that
the policy was reversed after the assassination
, as Chomsky fails to
realize. This is why I say it is a false debate–because it is about 1), not 2). The irony is that Chomsky's clear presentation of the facts regarding 2), as opposed to Newman's, supports a conspiracy view of the assassination. It is enough to say that two days after the assassination the CIA and other intelligence agencies began to reverse their assessment of the military situation–retrospectively, dating the deterioration from July–and hence to reverse the withdrawal policy. Chomsky says this (without using the term "withdrawal policy," which he refuses to use the way everyone else uses it)–not Newman. We do not need any secret intentions of JFK to pose the question of the relation between the assassination and Vietnam policy. All we need to do is establish what actually happened, according to the documentary record. What happened is that JFK was killed, and two days later the CIA et al. suddenly realized they had been losing the war for the past five months, and the appropriate policy change was made. This may have been pure coincidence (as Chomsky and Schlesinger both assume, Chomsky tacitly and Schlesinger explicitly), but once the facts are stated clearly, they reek of conspiracy."
In a letter to Chomsky, Morrissey makes the point that:
The false debate is about what was going on in Kennedy's head before it exploded on that fateful day in Dallas. It is about what he might or might not have secretly intended to do in Vietnam, and what he might or might not have done if he had lived. There is no answer to these questions, and there never will be, no matter how many additional documents are declassified or memoirs are written... Once you admit that there was a radical policy change in the months following the assassination, whether that change was a reaction to a (presumed) change in conditions or not, you must ask if the change was related to the assassination, unless you are a fool. Then, like it or not, you are into conspiracy theory… ["Chomsky on JFK and Vietnam"]

This is the real debate, the one I was trying in vain to engage Chomsky in. Forget policy. There was a change. A radical change. A reversal of something, whether you want to call it policy, tactics, or assessment. What was the connection, if any, between that change, that immediate and radical change, and the assassination?

This is the question which, I submit, Chomsky and everyone else have been avoiding for the past 15 years.
In Noam Chomsky's words, "The smart way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of acceptable opinion, but allow very lively debate within that spectrum."

February 11, 2008

9/11 Cartoon: Steel Melting Double Straw-man



9/11 Cartoon: Steel Melting Double Straw-man

By Arabesque

A blog entitled Respectful Insolence posts a 9/11 Cartoon The "troof" hurts...

The cartoon asks the question "can fire melt steel" and gives a misleading answer.

Yes, fire can melt steel, but only in special conditions as Dr. Thomas Eagar explains:

“The fire is the most misunderstood part of the WTC collapse. Even today, the media report (and many scientists believe) that the steel melted. It is argued that the jet fuel burns very hot, especially with so much fuel present. This is not true.... The temperature of the fire at the WTC was not unusual, and it was most definitely not capable of melting steel. In combustion science, there are three basic types of flames, namely, a jet burner, a premixed flame, and a diffuse flame.... In a diffuse flame, the fuel and the oxidant are not mixed before ignition, but flow together in an uncontrolled manner and combust when the fuel/oxidant ratios reach values within the flammable range. A fireplace is a diffuse flame burning in air, as was the WTC fire. Diffuse flames generate the lowest heat intensities of the three flame types... The maximum flame temperature increase for burning hydrocarbons (jet fuel) in air is, thus, about 1000 °C -- hardly sufficient to melt steel at 1500 °C.” Eagar, T. W. and Musso, C. (2001). “Why Did the World Trade Center Collapse? Science, Engineering, and Speculation”, Journal of the Minerals, Metals and Materials Society, 53/12:8-11 (2001).
Ironically, this cartoon found underneath the blogger's tagline, "The miscellaneous ramblings of a surgeon/scientist on medicine, quackery, science, pseudoscience" is actually a double straw-man. First of all the NIST report denies molten steel (likely because acknowledging molten steel would be very problematic for the official story--in contrast to what this cartoon would have us believe). Secondly, molten steel can only occur with the conditions described above by Eagar.

Did the steel melt at the WTC as denied by NIST? According to eyewitness testimony of "pools of molten metal", analysis, and other evidence; yes it did. With very unusual temperatures.
"The temperatures required for the observed spherule-formation and evaporation of materials observed in the WTC dust (table 1) are significantly higher than temperatures reachable by the burning of jet fuel and office materials in the WTC buildings (table 2). The temperatures required to melt iron (1,538 °C) and molybdenum (2,623 °C), and to vaporize lead (1,740 °C) and aluminosilicates (~2,760°C), are completely out of reach of the fires in the WTC buildings (maximum 1,100 °C). We wish to call attention to this discrepancy: the official view implicating fires as the main cause for the ultimate collapses of the WTC Towers and WTC 7 (FEMA [13], NIST [15] ) is inadequate to explain this temperature gap and is therefore incomplete at best. The formation of numerous metal-rich spherules is also remarkable, for it implies formation of high-temperature droplets of the molten metals, dispersed in the air where they cool to form spherules." Extremely high temperatures during the World Trade Center destruction, Steven E. Jones, Jeffrey Farrer, Gregory S. Jenkins, Frank Legge, James Gourley, Kevin Ryan, Daniel Farnsworth, and Crockett Grabbe.
Is this the only evidence of molten steel? Hardly. In fact, "a fire protection engineer and two science professors" published a brief report about steel taken from Building 7, revealing:

"a phenomenon never before observed in building fires: eutectic reactions, which caused "intergranular melting capable of turning a solid steel girder into Swiss cheese." The New York Times described this as "perhaps the deepest mystery uncovered in the investigation."
What does it all mean? The NIST report denies this evidence even though some of it made its way into the previous FEMA report. This is exemplified by John Gross, who denied the existence of molten steel:



There is compelling evidence that the steel melted, and no official explanation has been given. Instead, official reports have been forced to deny the existence of molten steel to support the official story that fires caused the Towers and Building 7 to collapse.

Contrary to the insinuations of this cartoon, the truth is more complicated than the question: "can fire melt steel?" Indeed it can, but not in the conditions we are told existed within the World Trade Center on 9/11. It is an indisputable fact that jet fuel fires cannot reach the temperatures needed to melt steel. Not only this, the buildings were designed to survive plane crashes and jet fuel fires of the kind seen on 9/11.

Scholars for 9/11 Truth and Justice, Architects for 9/11 Truth, and others are calling for an investigation to answer what really caused the molten steel and the unusual temperatures observed.

January 14, 2008

A Response to "Arabesque's False Unity Crusade" by Real Truther (a.k.a Gretavo)



A Response to Arabesque's False Unity Crusade by Real Truther (a.k.a Gretavo)

By Arabesque

I will answer several points in a response to my article 9/11 Truth and Division: Disinformation, Agent Provocateurs, and False Adversaries. Real Truther begins:

Arabesque is currently riding high as an authority on what is disinformation and COINTELPRO in the 9/11 Truth Movement. Arguments over this kind of claim to authority is one of the things that made Real Truther persona-non-grata at 911blogger, so its resurfacing with a veneer of sober objectivity begs for some good-ol' fashioned "disunifying" critique.

To my knowledge, I have never made such a claim that I am an "authority" or "expert". Obviously, Real Truther must think highly (enough) of me to put such effort into writing this factually challenged piece, and for that, well thanks—I’m flattered. I won’t dispute the fact that others have valued my work, but I can’t control what others think or write about me.

This pretense to sanctity on behalf of certain individuals, groups, or events is to me a fairly reliable red flag.

I do not disagree, but slander, false insinuations without evidence, and personal attacks are ad-homienm. However, if something can be proven it is fair game.

Truth is inherently immune from debunking, so why would anyone who knows that they are right feel threatened by questions, as opposed to relishing the opportunity to establish (as many times as necessary) the validity of one's position?

Indeed. But any good politician knows that you can smear your opponent with a false line of questioning and insinuations without a shred of evidence. This is a classic character assassination technique. It is helpful to look at the facts, rather than the man who is talking about them. After all, many times it is a diversion when it is the facts that are at issue, not the man.

Naturally I agree with Arabesque that COINTELPRO and disinfo are both real issues that must be acknowledged and dealt with.

I agree. This means that everyone has a right to discuss the relevant issues without falsely being labeled (even by those in disagreement with you) as “experts”. Unless it is meant as a compliment, of course.

But I would go a step further and point out the danger of simplifying the practice of determining who or what is and isn't. Arabesque's thesis centers around the premise that unity is good for the movement, that divisiveness is sown to derail it, and that the disinfo crowd does the sowing. I won't disagree, but I would say that we would be foolish to put unity above truth.

The key word here is “truth”. Who decides what is “truth”, and by whose “authority”? Here Real Truther reveals his hidden hypocrisy. He accuses me of a “false unity crusade” and of being an “authority” (when I have never claimed such a thing), and then he makes the statement we shouldn’t put “unity above truth” with the obvious, but hidden assumption that Real Truther knows the truth by virtue of his own "authority". This is very clear since his confidence in his own "authority" leads him to prolifically name “shills” based on their perceived heresy.

"Putting unity above truth"? This is a key point that is misunderstood by Real Truther. To explain, I would never advocate “unity by agreement”, since such a thing is impossible even in concept within the 9/11 truth movement. Instead, I am actually advocating “unity by common cause” with disagreements approached with civility. This is the main thesis of my article which Real Truther clearly misrepresents. Not surprisingly, if the “truth” is controversial there will always be disagreement. Free debate and acknowledgment of differing views without personal attacks and baseless character assassination can only help us get to the actual truth by focusing on the actual issues rather than the people advocating them. Mostly, this is a diversion--unless of course, some believe that the "purpose" of the 9/11 truth movement is to endlessly gossip about its members—not get criminals prosecuted and named for their obvious and blatant crimes.

Does 9/11 Truth really need the same kind of rhetoric? Are the democrats and republicans in any way overtly united?

Indeed, the 9/11 truth movement does not need rhetoric of any kind. We certainly don't need the personalized ad-hominem attack rhetoric campaigns of the kind commonly seen in many 9/11 forums. Aside from this point, the above statement is another false analogy unless it is assumed the 9/11 truth movement is not united in the desire for another investigation or agree with the basic premise that a crime was committed and that the true perpetrators were therefore not held accountable.

Indeed, my premise is that we don’t need the rhetoric that only certain members of the truth movement “have the truth” by some divine “authority” to name anyone who disagrees with this “obvious and unquestionable truth” a “shill”. Indeed, to complain about “authority” while calling people who disagree “shills” while naming oneself "real truther" is the ultimate form of "authoritarian" hypocrisy that I could possibly imagine. I offered the suggestion that we can treat each other as equals and discuss disagreement with civility. The result of this "suggestion" was to be called a "shill" by "Real Truther".

Moving on to the Pentagon, Real Truther writes:

Absent any conclusive evidence of a 757 having crashed into the Pentagon, evidence that should exist in spades given the video surveillance cameras all over the Pentagon, the burden of proof rests on those who claim that a 757 did crash there.

Of course, I don’t have a problem with this statement. Nor do I have a problem with anyone who is “agnostic” about what happened at the Pentagon. The US Government should end this intentional controversy and release the videos. Of course, how we get them is the real question--not who believes what happened.

The subtext is clear--let's leave the Pentagon out of our discussions...

I never implied that the Pentagon shouldn't be discussed. Another straw-man.

…or if we must discuss it, let's avoid making anyone look like a fool for supporting the OCT on that score. Let's pretend that it does not raise suspicion when people seem so willing to take on faith one aspect of the OCT but not others.

Not on “faith”, but “evidence”. Sometimes evidence is ambiguous and the truth is not obvious. I dare apologize for questioning Real Truther's divine “authority” over my “faith”, but many of the most credible 9/11 websites and researchers advocate pro-757 arguments. Of course, let's not get into arguments from authority, as that is an obvious fallacy already much discussed here. But it is interesting that even former hardcore "no-757" theorists like the Loose Change filmmakers and David Ray Griffin have changed their tune to “agnostic” from their previous and clear-cut “no-757” point of view. Why would they change their minds unless the evidence was far from conclusive?

When Arabesque talks about ‘divisive issues’, in other words, he seems to be referring to issues that should not be divisive.

That’s the point I was trying to make.

Why is he trying to make us think that those are divisive issues then? …Certainly he doesn't think that people will stop discussing them, does he?

What I actually meant is that ad-hominem attacks (i.e. “you friggin shill!!!!” --see below) and fighting that occur over disagreements are divisive, not the issues themselves. People, not ideas fight with each other. I already explained above that I don’t believe in “unity by agreement”. This is yet another straw-man in which Real Truther confuses “unity by agreement” with my thesis of “unity by common cause”.

Surely he can't believe that confronted with indisputable evidence that we were lied to about 9/11 in such a monumental way that the existence of disagreement on certain aspects is going to cripple the movement with disunity, or does he?

In fact, this is exactly how COINTELPRO has worked in the past to render movements ineffective. A major part of this strategy was to intentionally create hostility within activist groups to halt progress towards movement goals.

For the definition of an ad hominem argument, Arabesque just happens to find the
perfect source in a site defending the official holocaust narrative… as far as authorities on disinfo and dishonesty go, Arabesque has just joined John Albanese in the Pantheon of Self-Referential Experts.

I have to admit I was very puzzled by this comment. Perhaps, I should have known better to accidentally and carelessly quote a website which discusses Real Truther's “Self-Referential” area of “Authority”--the Holocaust.

And finally, a word to Arabesque--kiss my divisive ass, you friggin' shill! [Helpfully written in a size viewable for the elderly and reading impaired.

My apologizes to "Real Truther"--the name of a self-appointed "authority" if there ever was one, but I don’t kiss burning straw.

November 6, 2007

Disinformation and the Misleading and False LIHOP/MIHOP Dichotomy



Disinformation and the Misleading and False LIHOP/MIHOP Dichotomy

By Arabesque

November 2007 – for the Visibility9-11 Newsletter

Accuracy in language is important.  Reality is often far more complex than can usually be understood with simplistic terminology.  By definition, labels and phrases like “9/11 was an inside job”, “MIHOP”, “LIHOP”, “conspiracy theories”, and “War on Terror” are frequently used to simplify reality into small and easily comprehensible packages.  While often helpful, translating reality into black and white labels is often misleading and inaccurate.  This can even be purposeful and deliberate as frequently seen in politics and the mainstream media.  The events of 9/11 are controversial and misunderstood by many and one significant culprit for this situation is the misleading and inaccurate usage of language to describe what happened.  Understanding the role of disinformation and misinformation is essential to form a complete and accurate understanding of the 9/11 attacks.[1]  What is disinformation?  Jim Fetzer explains that “while ‘misinformation’ can be simply defined as false, mistaken, or misleading information, ‘disinformation’ entails the distribution, assertion, or dissemination of false, mistaken, or misleading information in an intentional, deliberate, or purposeful effort to mislead, deceive, or confuse.[2]

When labels are misleading they can function as disinformation and misinformation.  Take for example, the commonly seen accusation within the 9/11 truth movement that someone is a “disinformation agent”.  Labels like these are often improperly used to oversimplify reality into black and white paradigms; this is another example of disinformation/misinformation.  For example, even a “disinformation agent” is capable of telling the truth and providing accurate information.  Yes, we must be wary of those who consistently give us bad information—this is basic common sense.  In journalism, this is known as relying on the ‘credible sources’.  We should especially confirm information when it comes from a source that we know to be unreliable.  Similarly, as seen in the “disinformation agent” example, we cannot simply reject all aspects of the 9/11 ‘official story’ simply because some parts are wrong, inaccurate, or misleading.  While some parts may be false, others are clearly not.  Promoting credible and accurate 9/11 research with precise language is important if the 9/11 truth movement wishes to emphasize “truth” rather than style, speculation, and personalities.  The omission of facts, oversimplification, and exaggeration through the use of labels often results in misinformation and disinformation.

The Misleading and False MIHOP/LIHOP Dichotomy

As observed, simplification is often achieved through the use of labels.  Though they are frequently helpful, labels and descriptive terms can lend themselves to misuse, over-simplification, and distortion when used in a misleading context.  The most significant example of this within the 9/11 truth movement is the misleading and false “Made it Happen on Purpose” (MIHOP) and “Let it Happen on Purpose” (LIHOP) dichotomy.  What is a false dichotomy?  George Bush gave us this famous example in his response to the 9/11 attacks: “Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists.[3] False dichotomies such as these are commonly used to inaccurately frame debates in political discourse.  Also known as the false dilemma fallacy, it is used to create a false binary choice:

  1. Either claim X is true or claim Y is true (when X and Y could both be false).
  2. Claim Y is false.
  3. Therefore claim X is true.[4]

The MIHOP and LIHOP labels were purportedly coined by Nico Haupt in 2002: “I invented the acronym ‘LIHOP’ at the same time [we] created [the] ‘9/11 Science and Justice Alliance’.[5] Consequently, these terms were widely adopted and “MIHOP” was popularized in the book 9/11 Synthetic Terror: Made in USA by Webster Tarpley:

This book argues the rogue network MIHOP position. That is to say, it represents the analytical point of view which sees the events of September 11, 2001 as a deliberate provocation manufactured by an outlaw network of high officials infesting the military and security apparatus of the United States and Great Britain, a network ultimately dominated by Wall Street and City of London financiers. It is our contention that any other approach… misrepresents what actually happened in the terror attacks.[6] 

When clearly defined as seen in the above passage, MIHOP is a coherent thesis that can be analyzed and critiqued.  In fact, it is not even necessary to use the word “MIHOP” to forward this thesis.  The labels LIHOP and MIHOP are like an empty drinking glass ready to be filled with clarification and context—left unfilled, they specify almost nothing.  As such, the terms MIHOP and LIHOP themselves are also easily misused when employed without clarification leaving them vague, misleading, and open-ended.  Discussing his book in an interview with Alex Jones, Tarpley explained that:

This is the only book that gives strong MIHOPThere is the negligence theory, not wearing well. Then there is LIHOP, Let it happen on purpose, like the Arab hijackers have some kind of independent reality. Like Ruppert's Crossing the Rubicon. This also has not worn well. Then MIHOP, Make it happen, that the patsies are controlled assets, they don't make it happen, the professionals make it happen under the cover of drills.[7]

In the preface to the second edition of Synthetic Terror, Tarpley repeats the charge that “[the] LIHOP view of things has been vociferously and voluminously defended by Mike Ruppert, whose book features the constant refrain borrowed from Delmart ‘Mike’ Vreeland, 'Let one happen. Stop the rest!’”[8] In the above passages, Tarpley makes a comparison between LIHOP and MIHOP by referencing Crossing the Rubicon by Michael Ruppert.[9] However, the largely undefined terms MIHOP and LIHOP are inaccurate and clumsy when taken out of context, often lending themselves very well to straw-man assertions.[10] Is Ruppert’s book “LIHOP”?  From page 1 of Crossing the Rubicon:

While these attacks were arguably one of the most serious homicides ever committed, the investigation and ‘prosecution’… has never even approached the legal and logical standards governing all such investigations. Regardless of whom the suspect(s) turns out to be, these are the basic questions every homicide investigator must seek to answer in the course of the investigation… In the end the only ‘suspects’ found to meet all of these criteria will not be al Qaeda and Osama bin Laden. They will instead be a group of people operating within certain government agencies, including the White House, for the benefit of major financial interests within the United States and in other countries.[11]

Ruppert’s thesis is almost identical to the one given in Tarpley’s book.  Since this is the case, how can Tarpley make the charge that Ruppert is arguing “LIHOP”?  As 9/11 researcher Jim Hoffman observes, Ruppert “has done a great deal of work on documenting the role of government agencies, such as the CIA, in the September 11th attack.[12] Elsewhere in his book, Ruppert expands on his actual thesis while clearly insinuating that the alleged hijackers could not have flown the aircraft on 9/11:

The 9/11 terrorists did not act on their own volition. The suicide hijackers were instruments in a carefully planned intelligence operation I [am] absolutely convinced that… the so-called hijackerscould not have accomplished the flying required on 9/11... Their behavior was more consistent with the creation of a detailed “legend” to make the public believe they had done the deed... The technology to fly airliners by remote control or, what the air force calls remotely piloted vehicles (RPVs), has been around since the 1960s... Like any “well-planned” government operation, the planning and initial preparations for what became 9/11 had begun in the Clinton administration as a contingency plan. That’s when the 19 so-called hijackers (and/or their handlers) began establishing their legends... Some of these “terrorists” had been turned by US, British, or Israeli intelligence long before 9/11. Some were probably long-time, deep-cover field agents... I believe that the so-called hijackers who had received this training were probably part of an ultra-secret US military and intelligence joint operation “Opposition Force,” or OPFOR, which routinely played bad guys in hijack exercises around the world and inside the US...What is clear is that the government’s assertions that 19 hijackers, funded from caves in Afghanistan, were able to execute what happened on September 11th is beyond ludicrous.[13]

Clearly, Ruppert implies that the planes were flown by remote control, the hijackers were patsies, and the attacks were a “well-planned government operation”—almost exactly what Tarpley argues in his book.  If Ruppert’s suspects included members of the White House and the CIA but excluded the alleged terrorists—how could his book “vociferously” argue “LIHOP” as Tarpley suggests?  Not surprisingly, if Tarpley can make a stunning mischaracterization of Ruppert’s thesis, lesser researchers and rank and file activists are even more prone to misuse these labels.  Not only can “LIHOP” and “MIHOP” mean different things to different people, their meaning can easily change when they are not clearly defined or clarified.  On their own, the words “made” and “let” are as simple and basic as exist within the English language, while “it” can mean anything that happened on 9/11.  Both imply intent with the phrase “on purpose”.

For example, “LIHOP” has been used to imply all of these variable, distinct, and even contradictory claims:

  1. The planes were “allowed” to hit their targets
  2. The hijackers were “allowed” to fly the planes into their World Trade Center
  3. The hijackers were “allowed” by NORAD to fly the planes
  4. The hijackers were “allowed” by NORAD and the secret government to fly the planes into their targets while simulated War Game hijacking scenarios simultaneously took place to enable a stand-down.
  5. The remote-controlled planes were “allowed” by NORAD to fly into their targets while simulated War Game hijacking scenarios took place.
  6. The Illuminati “allowed” the planes to hit the buildings
  7. Bush “let” the planes hit the World Trade Center while reading about a pet goat

These hypothetical examples clearly demonstrate the weakness of the LIHOP/MIHOP labels.  On their own, they specify nothing while pretending that the intended audience understands their meaning. LIHOP has also been used to mean any and all of these claims:

  • Government or insider foreknowledge of the attacks[14]
  • Government or insider responsibility/negligence/complicity for the attacks[15]
  • Government or insider cover-up of incriminating insider responsibility for the attacks[16]
  • Government or insider benefit, and motive for the attacks to happen[17]
  • Government or insider participation to help facilitate (allow) the attack to be successful
  • Hijacker responsibility for the attacks

Noteworthy is that the first five points are also common to MIHOP. 

The inaccurate LIHOP term is a misnomer; even if you believed the attacks were fully “allowed” to happen, this involved “making it happen” coordination—even the clumsy term admits it was “on purpose”.  9/11 Family member Mindy Kleinberg, in an opening address to the 9/11 Commission hints at this issue:

“It has been said that the intelligence agencies have to be right 100% of the time. And the terrorists only have to get lucky once. This explanation for the devastating attacks of September 11th, simple on its face, is wrong in its value, because the 9-11 terrorists were not just lucky once. They were lucky over and over again. When you have this repeated pattern of broken protocols, broken laws, broken communication, one cannot still call it luck.  If at some point, we don’t look to hold the individuals accountable for not doing their jobs, properly, then how can we ever expect for terrorists to not get lucky again?”[18]

The official 9/11 conspiracy theory depends on omission and ignorance of the coordinated and simultaneous “failures”.  David Ray Griffin gives a particularly hilarious example:

Another reason for skepticism… is that the incompetence of the FAA on that day… is too extreme to be believed. The task that the FAA allegedly failed to perform repeatedly that day—notifying the military when an airplane shows any of the standard signs of being in trouble—is one that the FAA had long been carrying out regularly, over 100 times a year. Can we really believe that virtually everyone—from the flight controllers to their managers to the personnel in Herndon and FAA headquarters—suddenly became ridiculously incompetent to perform this task?  This allegation becomes even more unbelievable when we reflect on the fact that the FAA successfully carried out an unprecedented operation that day: grounding all the aircraft in the country. The Commission itself says that the FAA “[executed] that unprecedented order flawlessly.”[19] Is it plausible that FAA personnel, on the same day that they carried out an unprecedented task so flawlessly, would have failed so miserably with a task that they, decade after decade, had been performing routinely?[20]

If all of these “failures” happened simultaneously as we are told, was it “luck” or was it “made” to happenIf these simultaneous failures were intentionally coordinated (i.e. “made” to happen), how can the inaccurately named LIHOP theory even exist?  The LIHOP label absurdly implies that a massively coordinated “failure” was not MADE to happen, while the MIHOP label has been used to indiscriminately imply that parts of the attack were not ALLOWED to happen.  It is impossible to choose between the two unless by inaccurate generalization.  Both happened, and yet both “theories” pretend that only one or the other happened, which is demonstrably misleading.  For these reasons, MIHOP/LIHOP is a misleading and false dichotomy, inherently ambiguous, and easily results in straw-man arguments.  Paradoxically, they are misleading because they are so simple—their meaning shifts depending on the context in which they are used easily resulting in misinformation.  Because the false MIHOP/LIHOP dichotomy emphasizes many of the same things, a false choice occurs when it is framed in this way:

The 9/11 attacks were “MIHOP”. Any evidence, area of research, or unanswered questions that appear to be “LIHOP” are therefore disinformation, false, or not worthy of consideration.

This is a straw-man argument as explained above since the 9/11 attacks would have been impossible without the simultaneous planning and enabling the eventthe attacks were both intentionally and simultaneously made (MIHOP) and allowed (LIHOP) to happen—not one or the other

Accuracy in language is important.  Consider this reductio ad absurdum illustration to progressively demonstrate why these terms are inaccurate, misleading, and even absurd when used in an inappropriate context. One of the most significant 9/11 anomalies observed was that the aircraft were seemingly "allowed" to hit their targets without interception by NORAD—ignoring standard and routine intercept procedure.[21] This clearly shows that some aspects of the attack involved “letting it happen” even as others were “made to happen”.  However, the aircraft could also have been “made” to fly by remote control, but a successful attack still would have been impossible without a “let happen” stand-down.  But even this would be too simple a characterization.  Was the stand-down actually LIHOP or was it “MIHOP” under the smokescreen of simultaneous pre-“made” war-game scenarios “coincidentally MIHOP” to involve simulated hijacked aircraft?[22] What about the alleged hijackers—were they incredulously “LIHOP” to attend flight training schools at US military bases or was this a “MAKE it Happen no matter how ridiculous it looks” deal?[23] This also assumes that plane-as-missile MIHOP intent would LIHOP the alleged patsies to MIHOP—they couldn’t even MIHOP their Cessnas properly!  After failed lessons, some of the MIHOP-wannabe hijackers were not even LIHOPED to fly anymore.[24] And then we are told that this LIHOPPITY Hanni Hanjour managed to “allegedly” “MIHOP” his LIHOP plane into the ground floor of the Pentagon (oops—that’s LIHOP)![25] Some of them were so MIHOP incompetent they apparently couldn’t even MIHOP their own deaths.[26] On the other hand, it’s impossible to MIHOP a “LIHOP” back-story without patsies MIHOPED to blame with supporting “MIHOP-believe” planted and fabricated evidence (discreetly disguised as ‘LIHOP’ of course).[27] For example, in the pre-9/11 LIHOP Able Danger program that was (MIHOP) running, the LIHOP terrorists were LIHOPED to stay in the US while under MIHOP observation and surveillance.  Don’t be confused!  The LIHOPS were obviously manipulated as part of an imaginary LIHOP cover story (this evil set-up was pure MIHOP, of course).  These LIHOPPERS wouldn’t even know their MIHOPDALIHOP[28] fate. The only trick was that we had to fool [MIHOP, of course] the LIHOPPERS to HOP on their LIHOP planes so that it would give the (MIHOP) appearance of LIHOP.  This phony cover story would then be sold as LIHOP to the naively MIHOP-Uninformed public with MIHOP assistance from the Media.[29] Who's to blame for this MIHOP situation? What about those suspicious promotions of those MIHOPPISH LIHOPPERS who LIHOPPED on 9/11?[30] Those who were given promotions for LIHOP serve to actually secretly divert the blame away from the real MIHOPPERS—and I’m not talking about the Bush/Cheney MIHOPPLINGS. You’re not dumb enough to fall for that LIHOPPISHY nonsense are you?[31] But was this purely a MIHOP affair, or did others dabble in LIHOP while MIHOPPING?  Did some of the MIHOPS assign others to LIHOPLike the LIHOPPISHING young man who asked Dick ‘MADE 9/11 HAPPEN on PURPOSE’ Cheneydo the LIHOP orders still stand?[32] MIHOPPING MAD Cheney replied of course the LIHOP orders still stand, did you hear any LIHOPPING or MIHOPPING orders to the contrary!??” As with the LIHOPPER planes at the World Trade Center, the MIHOP order to LIHOP from Dick ‘Mr. MIHOP’ Cheney predictably resulted in another preventable 9/11 LIHOP event.  Of course, what I really want to know is how the heck they managed to MIHOP those fire/plane-crash surviving LIHOP passports?[33] In the end, who cares that insiders are HOP responsible regardless for the deaths of 3000 people?—we need another investigation just to sort out this more important MIHOP/LIHOP stuff! 

As you can see, in this context the terms are rendered useless and ridiculous.  These misleading labels are often not used to understand 9/11; frequently, their function serves to distort and obfuscate.  When this happens, it is tempting to say that these labels function as part of the 9/11 cover-up as misinformation or disinformation when they are used to falsely dismiss and attack certain types of incriminating evidence as “not complicit enough”; framing legitimate understandings of complicity into imaginary and destructively illegitimate labels.  This process is Orwellian:

You can shirk it by simply throwing your mind open and letting the ready-made phrases come crowding in. They will construct your sentences for you—even think your thoughts for you, to a certain extent—and at need they will perform the important service of partially concealing your meaning even from yourself. It is at this point that the special connection between politics and the debasement of language becomes clear.[34]

The frequently inaccurate and misleading LIHOP/MIHOP dichotomy is the embodiment of the debasement of language; a subversive attack against subtlety, critical thought, and reason.  These terms effectively think our thoughts for us: “LIHOP is bad!  MIHOP is good!” They are framed as if they were opposites while inaccurately concealing their precise meaning from us. More accurately, these terms are different shades of the same thing—not opposites. When these terms are inappropriately employed in misleading contexts and false paradigms they function as disinformation and misinformation—possibly as a deliberate part of the 9/11 cover-up.  As an example of evidence dismissed as “LIHOP”, an article entitled ‘The LIHOP/MIHOP Distraction Continued’, by writer ‘Angie’ implies that we should dismiss the testimony of Sibel Edmonds because she is “limited hangout” or “LIHOP”:[35]

[I’m] still wondering, who is still Lihop nowadays? [Taking] a look at 911truth.org, a site which places a premium on mainstream political correctness… is STILL LIHOP (including their mission statement)… From 911truth.org’s ‘breaking news and ongoing stories of special import’ link is Sibel Edmonds’ May 14th article.  And to the right of that, a ton of Sibel links… [she] is not even LIHOP for 9/11, guys.  Her hints consist of pointing fingers at unnamed corrupt gov't officials… REINFORCES the official story.[36]

On the other hand, Webster Tarpley’s book includes a section on Sibel Edmonds as part of the “MIHOP” thesis—completely contradicting the “LIHOP” point of view as put forward by ‘Angie’ and others:

Sibel Edmonds… worked as a translator for the FBI’s Washington field office… Edmonds’ letter provides another rare glimpse at how moles operate inside intelligence agencies to sabotage law enforcement and make sure that patsies are not rounded up or effective warnings given until it is too late… Edmonds also revealed a specific pre-9/11 warning on patsy activities which was simply ignored by the FBI, and then ignored again by the 9/11 commission… Edmonds goes on to mock the clichés about connecting the dots and sharing intelligence which are the stock in trade of the controlled corporate media. She points out that the Phoenix memo, the Minneapolis alarms, and the Sarshar material all converged in the J. Edgar Hoover Building in Washington DC. The FBI had all that it needed to know that a large operation was afoot, which it could have disrupted by rolling up parts of the patsy network. But the FBI did nothing, and the 9/11 commission dropped the ball here as well.[37]

Whereas Sibel Edmonds is dismissed as “LIHOP” by the writer ‘Angie’ and other 9/11 activists, Webster Tarpley embraces her as part of his “rogue network MIHOP” thesis.  For these and many other reasons, not only are the LIHOP and MIHOP terms inaccurate, equivalent, and interchangeable while discussing many of the same types of evidence, they can be effectively used as misinformation and disinformation to falsely distort, devalue, and illegitimately discredit incriminating evidence, legitimate research, and valid areas of inquiry into the 9/11 attacks

This Orwellian debasement of language misrepresents the events of 9/11 into a ridiculous and overly-simplistic distortion of reality.  Clearly, the 9/11 attacks were both ‘made’ and ‘allowed’ to happen in a carefully planned, complex, psychological operation—they would have been impossible without the use of both of these components.  The misleading and false LIHOP/ MIHOP paradigm avoids the obvious and meaningful subtleties of reality.  As Blogger Jeff Wells comments, “Binary thinking is a mind cancer that retards insight, and unfortunately flourishes in conspiracy culture. The beginning of wisdom,said Terrence McKenna, ‘is our ability to accept an inherent messiness in our explanation of what's going on.’”[38]

As such, many aspects of the attack involved both “allowing/letting it happen” and “making it happen” complicity:     

“ALLOWED” to happen:

“MADE” to happen:

NORAD Stand Down: allowed the planes to hit their targets[39]

NORAD Stand Down: accomplished via War Game Exercises?

Alleged Hijackers: allowed to train on US airbases[40]

Alleged Hijackers: deliberately constructed back-story to give misleading appearance they could carry out the attacks

The Able Danger Program: identified the alleged hijackers but allowed them to stay out of jail.  Only a whistleblower spoke up about it[41]

The Able Danger Program: intentional surveillance of intelligence assets/patsies

FBI blocking of pre-9/11 alleged Hijacker investigations to allow the patsies to stay out of jail[42]

FBI blocking of pre-9/11 Alleged Hijacker investigations to allow the patsies to stay out of jail

Promotions for allowing the attack[43]

Promotions for facilitating the attack

War Game Exercises: allowing exercises to continue during the attacks[44]

War Game Exercises: orchestrated to closely mirror the attacks

Pre-9/11 insider trading: suspiciously allowed to happen without investigation or warning the public[45]

Pre-9/11 insider trading: intentional profiting from the 9/11 attack

Remote control of aircraft: allowing aircraft to fly into their targets without military response—accurately[46]

Remote control of aircraft: flying the aircraft into their targets accurately

George Bush let the attack happen while reading about a pet Goat[47]

Controlled Demolition/Thermite, Building 7[48]

Notice that several areas of complicity could be interpreted as being common to both of the weakly defined labels; reinforcing the notion that MIHOP/LIHOP is a misleading dichotomy while further emphasizing their similarities rather than their differences.  9/11 researcher Mark Robinowitz explains, “the false debate between ‘let it happen’ and ‘made it happen’ is a distraction. There is a large amount of credible evidence that 9/11 was allowed to happen, and that it was given technical assistance (via wargames and probably remote control) to make sure that it happened as desired.”[49]    

Since the 9/11 attacks can be understood to involve both facilitating and allowing the attacks to successfully occur, uncritically dismissing evidence simply because it falls into the imaginary "LIHOP" category can easily result in muddying the "big picture".  This would be misleading since just as it is necessary to understand the role and function of Oswald in the JFK assassination, it is necessary to demonstrate that the alleged hijackers were indeed patsies to present the case that 9/11 was an “inside job”, or that the official story is disinformation.  It is necessary to understand why the official story is weakly supported, just as it is important to understand what really happened.  While other evidence may seemingly make this a foregone conclusion, the accumulation of more solid evidence to conclusively prove this is helpful.  Even assuming that hijackers were partly responsible for the attacks, many other significant aspects of the attacks are anomalous and incriminating: Building 7, the World Trade Center Towers, and the presence of Thermate at Ground Zero, and many of the other types of evidence already mentioned.  It is also misleading to dismiss consideration of evidence that at first glance may not appear to be as incriminating as other types of evidence.  Often, evidence found under the make-believe “LIHOP” category is among the most incriminating because it can name the actual names of those complicit for the attacks.[50] We know who was responsible for NORAD on 9/11.[51] We know who planned the War Games.[52] We know who got promoted.[53] On the other hand, we don’t know who is responsible for placing the thermite at the World Trade Center.[54] This is significant because knowing the precise names of those responsible could lead to prosecutions or even create pressure to name others responsible for the events of 9/11. In contrast, unanswered speculation about who is responsible for observed (or perceived) physical anomalies of the 9/11 attack will frequently force a potentially never-ending “who did it” guessing game until an investigation can conclusively answer these questions. 

9/11 Blogger George Washington observes another inherent problem with the LIHOP/MIHOP dichotomy: 

It has become clear that, whatever their original usefulness, the labels lihop and mihop now create more confusion and division within the truth movement than clarity. Why? Because mihop advocates think that lihops are ‘limited hang out’ gatekeepers who are intentionally suppressing the most damning evidence of complicity in the attacks, as a way to stall the 9/11 truth momentum. And many lihop advocates think that the mihop proponents are stressing crazy or at least non-provable physical evidence theories which distract and waste energy, cloud the waters, and divert attention away from the most solid evidence of government complicity which will be believed by the most people.[55]

While there are many theories about what happened on 9/11, the attack was far more complex than can be understood with the misleading and false LIHOP/MIHOP dichotomy.[56] These terms are even less useful when they are predictably distorted to create straw-man arguments, unnecessary fighting, and to divisively label individuals as suggested above by George Washington.  Could divide and conquer be a deliberate intent with the use of these terms?  Mark Robinowitz writes: “Binary thinking is a tool of control… Within the 9/11 truth movement, there is a false dichotomy between whether 9/11 was LIHOP… or MIHOP… This divisiveness keeps government critics from uniting.[57] A COINTELPRO letter by FBI director Edgar Hoover revealed that the “instigating of or the taking advantage of personal conflicts or animosities existing between New Left leaders” was a deliberate strategy to divide activist groups.[58] Effectively, the LIHOP/MIHOP dichotomy is used to accomplish exactly this on the internet and discussion forums whether by design or accident.[59] This is the difference between disinformation and misinformation; just as one can promote bad information with or without knowing it is bad information, misleading and inaccurate terms can be utilized without comprehending or correcting their inaccuracy.

If the MIHOP/LIHOP dichotomy is agreed to be divisive, misleading, and inaccurate (i.e. disinformation or misinformation), what terms should we use instead?  “Inside Job” and “insider complicity” are far more descriptive and accurate labels, but even these have problems of their own depending on how they are used to frame understanding of the 9/11 attacks.  Although more useful and precise than the false LIHOP/MIHOP dichotomy, "inside job" suffers from a similar problem.  On its own, it starts with the conclusion and assumes that the intended audience knows the necessary facts.  In this context, "inside job" is useful to those who know the evidence, and useless to those who do not.  When terms are not supported by compelling facts or explanation, descriptive labels have limited power to encourage new members to the join the 9/11 truth movement or convince them that the official story is false.  On their own, labels and terms are not enough—education and unmasking the disinformation supporting the 9/11 ‘official story’ is necessary to reach new activists, researchers and force an investigation. 

Conclusions

Accuracy in language is important.  While descriptive terms are often helpful, they can be misleading, inaccurate, and unhelpful when used in the wrong context.  A clear component of the 9/11 cover-up is the use of disinformation to cloud the case for a clear inside job by muddying the waters and promulgating misinformation; inaccurate labels are very effective for this purpose.  LIHOP and MIHOP are frequently vague, inaccurate, and misleading terms that continuously damage and impede analysis and understanding within the 9/11 truth movement.  It is my thesis that the terms should be rejected and abandoned.  They create a false and misleading dichotomy by ignoring that the 9/11 attacks involved elements of both “making it happen” and “letting it happen”.  While the label MIHOP is inaccurate when it fails to account for aspects of the attacks that were allowed to occur (i.e. apparent NORAD stand-down), LIHOP is inaccurate when it fails to account for the things that were made to occur (i.e. NORAD war game exercises involving simulated hijackings).   

There is nothing wrong with disagreement, but distorted straw-man arguments with misleading and inaccurate language and labels are not real disagreement. The misleading and false MIHOP/LIHOP dichotomy is effectively used in straw-man debates in which 9/11 activists are attacked with ridiculously misleading and inaccurate labels.  Instead, accurate language should be used to critique and advance understanding of the 9/11 attacks.  If misinformation is defined as “misleading information", then the MIHOP and LIHOP labels closely follow this definition, but if they are used with deliberate intent to confuse and mislead, they clearly function as disinformation. This is because they can mean almost anything depending on what the user wants them to mean when left unqualified, and they can just as easily be misunderstood by the intended audience when this happens.  Without clarification, the terms are like empty, unfilled glasses; containers without meaningful content.  When these labels are followed by specific explanations and analysis they are somewhat more useful, but without clarification they are dangerously open-ended: 

  • Who made it happen? 
  • What happened?
  • How did it happen?
  • Why did it happen? 
  • Why is the official story wrong? 
  • Which parts of the official story are wrong? 
  • What parts are true?
  • And most importantly, how can you prove it? 

These are all questions that MIHOP and LIHOP do not answer when they are not followed with explanation or precise definition; on their own these terms are virtually meaningless.  They avoid the complex nature of reality by avoiding subtlety and nuance.  While the phrases “inside job” and “insider complicity” are far more accurate and encompassing, as with the MIHOP and LIHOP labels they will not effectively bring new members into the 9/11 truth movement if they are not supported with convincing analysis to support them.   

My thesis is that the LIHOP/MIHOP dichotomy is:

  • Distorted and misleading since "let" and "made" are hopelessly vague if not clearly defined.
  • A false dichotomy. The 9/11 attacks involved both "allow" and "made" coordination; intentional “failures”, intentional planning to allow the attacks to be successful, and deliberate participation in the attacks.  The LIHOP theory incorrectly implies that a massively coordinated “failure” was not MADE to happen, while the MIHOP label is often absurdly used to imply that parts of the attack were not ALLOWED to happen.
  • Ambiguous for its user.  Meaningless if the terms are not specifically qualified, commonly resulting in straw-man arguments.  They are often ineffectively employed as empty rhetoric; assertions frequently framed without supporting explanation or argument.  By themselves, they are empty containers; conclusions without analysis or even clarification.
  • Ambiguous for its intended audience.  Uniquely perceived by the intended audience when terms are not clearly defined.
  • Virtually identical.  Both emphasize insider complicity, while encompassing many of the same types of evidence.
  • Divisive.  Used to falsely frame the 9/11 truth movement as being divided

The false LIHOP/MIHOP dichotomy should be rejected for all of the above reasons.  A historical component of FBI COINTELPRO included the purpose of weakening and dividing activist groups through provoking unnecessary internal debate and division; effectively what the MIHOP and LIHOP labels accomplish with or without the intent of its user.  When these terms are not used to clearly understand, analyze, or advance understanding of the attack, this false and misleading dichotomy diverts the truth movement away from its unified belief that 9/11 was not properly prevented, investigated, and explained or that government officials, insiders and unknown guilty parties were never held accountable or reprimanded.  



[1] Arabesque, 9/11 Disinformation and Misinformation: Definitions and Examples, http://arabesque911.blogspot.com/

[2] Jim Fetzer, Information: Does It Have To Be True? Minds and Machines, 14, pp. 223–229

[3] Address to a Joint Session of Congress and the American People, United States Capitol Washington, D.C. Office of the Press Secretary September 20, 2001  http://www.whitehouse.gov/

[4] Nizkor, Fallacy: False Dilemma, http://www.nizkor.org/

This line of ‘reasoning’ is fallacious because if both claims could be false, then it cannot be inferred that one is true because the other is false.

[5] Jon Gold, LIHOP/MIHOP Labels Are Divisive, http://www.911blogger.com/

Nico Haupt, They Let It Happen On Purpose! 9/11 The final Dots - Top 20 LIHOP Suspects, http://www.scoop.co.nz/, August 13, 2002

[6] Webster Tarpley, Synthetic Terror: Made in USA, Preface to the Second Edition PREFACE TO THE SECOND EDITION

On the back cover, Nico Haupt also describes Synthetic Terror by framing it within the LIHOP/MIHOP dichotomy:

“9/11 Synthetic Terror not only puts the tragic event of 9/11 into the clearest and so far, most detailed and best described historical context, it also combines often ignored physical and investigative evidence of a U.S.-scripted, planned, orchestrated and supervised attack. This book deserves to be at the top of every 9/11 truth leaflet and in the editorials of mainstream media, which both often ignore the deeper picture, watering down the clear evidence of an Inside Job and misleading the audience to suggest that 9/11 was just the result of negligence orLIHOP’ (let it happen on purpose). - Nico Haupt, Globalfreepress, INN World Report, 911skeptics.blogspot.com. Founding Member of ny911truth.org and 9/11Truth Action December 2004”

[7] Webster G. Tarpley and Charlie Sheen with Alex Jones on the GCN Radio Network - March 24th, 2006, Transcript

[8] Webster Tarpley, Synthetic Terror: Made in USA, Preface to the Second Edition PREFACE TO THE SECOND EDITION

[9] Michael C. Ruppert, Crossing the Rubicon: The Decline of the American Empire at the End of the Age of Oil, New Society Publishers

[10] Nizkor, Fallacy: Straw Man, http://www.nizkor.org/

[11] Michael C. Ruppert, Crossing the Rubicon, page 1.

[12] Jim Hoffman, Foreknowledge, Motive, and Complicity, http://911research.wtc7.net/

[13] Michael C. Ruppert, Crossing the Rubicon, 117, 351, 473, 575, 578, 580

[14] Jim Hoffman, Foreknowledge, Motive, and Complicity

Jim Hoffman, Attack Foreknowledge Actions Reveal Widespread Advance Knowledge of the Attack

[15] Ibid. Foreknowledge, Motive, and Complicity

[16] Ibid. The Coverup, http://911review.com/

[17] Ibid. Foreknowledge, Motive, and Complicity, http://911research.wtc7.net/

[18] Mindy Kleinberg, Complete testimony of Mindy Kleinberg, to The National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States, 9/11 victim's wife asks uncomfortable questions, http://www.unknownnews.net/, March 31, 2003.  See also:

9/11 Family Steering Committee, http://www.911independentcommission.org/

[19] The 9/11 Commission Report, 31

[20] David Ray Griffin, 9/11 Live or Fabricated: Do the NORAD Tapes Verify The 9/11 Commission Report? http://www.911truth.org/

[21] David Ray Griffin, The 9/11 Commission's Incredible Tales: Flights 11, 175, 77, and 93, http://www.globalresearch.ca/

[22] Michael C. Ruppert, Crossing the Rubicon

911truth.org, The Wargames of September 11th (beta), http://www.911truth.org/

[23] Wanttoknow.info, 9/11 Hijackers Trained at U.S. Military Bases? http://www.wanttoknow.info/

Paul Thompson, Complete 9/11 Timeline, Context of 'September 15-17, 2001: Did Some Hijackers Get US Military Training?'

[24] What Really Happened, Hani Hanjour: 9/11 Pilot Extraordinaire: From the ridiculous to the sublime... http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/

Jim Hoffman, Clueless Super-Pilot Jetliner Aerobatics by Flight School Dropout Who Never Flew a Jet, http://911research.wtc7.net/

[25] Ibid.

[26] Ibid. At Least 7 of the 9/11 Hijackers are Still Alive, http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/

[27] Paul Thompson, Complete 9/11 Timeline, Context of 'September 11-13, 2001: Hijackers Leave a Clear Trail of Evidence'

[28] (i.e. MIHOP-disguised-as-LIHOP)

[29] Wanttoknow.info, Able Danger Information Center, http://www.wanttoknow.info/

[30] Arabesque, 9/11 “Incompetence”, Sabotage, and Promotions, http://arabesque911.blogspot.com/

[31] (i.e. that those promoted for LIHOP are actually worth blaming or investigating)

[32] Gregor Holland, The Mineta Testimony: 9/11 Commission Exposed, http://www.911truth.org/

‘George Washington’, Mineta's Testimony CONFIRMED, http://georgewashington.blogspot.com/

[33] Jim Hoffman, Crash-Proof Passport: Hijacker's Passport and a Landing Gear Fragment Alone Survive Fiery Crash, http://911research.wtc7.net/

[34] George Orwell, Politics and the English Language, http://www.mtholyoke.edu/, 1946

[35] Paul Thompson, Complete 9/11 Timeline, Sibel Edmonds and Related Scandals  

[36] ‘Angie’, The LIHOP/MIHOP Distraction Continued (w/ an update on 911truth.org and Sibel Edmonds), http://mysite.verizon.net/vze25x9n/index.html 

[37] Webster Tarpley, Synthetic Terror, First Edition, 78-83

[38] Jeff Wells, ‘Grassroots Wisdom’, Rigorous Intuition blog, http://rigint.blogspot.com/, 2007-09-14

[39] David Ray Griffin, The 9/11 Commission's Incredible Tales: Flights 11, 175, 77, and 93

[40] Wanttoknow.info, 9/11 Hijackers Trained at U.S. Military Bases? http://www.wanttoknow.info/

Paul Thompson, Complete 9/11 Timeline, Context of 'September 15-17, 2001: Did Some Hijackers Get US Military Training?'

[41] Wanttoknow.info, Able Danger Information Center, http://www.wanttoknow.info/

[42] Paul Thompson, Complete 9/11 Timeline, Context of 'August 23-27, 2001: Minnesota FBI Agents ‘Absolutely Convinced’ Moussaoui Plans to Hijack Plane; They Are Undermined by FBI Headquarters'

[43] Arabesque, 9/11 “Incompetence”, Sabotage, and Promotions, http://arabesque911.blogspot.com/

[44] Michael C. Ruppert, Crossing the Rubicon

911truth.org, The Wargames of September 11th (beta), http://www.911truth.org/

[45] Jim Hoffman, Insider Trading: Pre-9/11 Put Options on Companies Hurt by Attack Indicates Foreknowledge, http://911research.wtc7.net/

[46] Ibid. Remote Control

[47] Ibid. George W. Bush: Cover Stories of the People in Charge

[48] Steven Jones, Why Indeed Did the WTC Buildings Completely Collapse? http://www.journalof911studies.com/ 

[49] Mark Robinowitz, Understanding 9/11 paradigms: Incompetence, Blowback, Pearl Harbor or Reichstag Fire? http://www.oilempire.us/

[50] Arabesque, 9/11 “Incompetence”, Sabotage, and Promotions, http://arabesque911.blogspot.com/

[51] Ibid.

[52] Michael Kane, Crossing the Rubicon Simplifying the case against Dick Cheney, http://www.fromthewilderness.com/

[53] Arabesque, 9/11 “Incompetence”, Sabotage, and Promotions, http://arabesque911.blogspot.com/

[54] Steven Jones, Why Indeed Did the WTC Buildings Completely Collapse?

[55] ‘George Washington’, Guilt, http://georgewashington.blogspot.com/

[56] Nicholas Levis, WHAT IS YOUR "HOP" LEVEL? TEN SCENARIOS OF WHAT MAY HAVE HAPPENED ON SEPTEMBER 11th, 2001, http://summeroftruth.org/ 

Mark Robinowitz, Understanding 9/11 paradigms: Incompetence, Blowback, Pearl Harbor or Reichstag Fire? http://www.oilempire.us/ 

[57] Mark Robinowitz, Fake Debate: binary thinking is a tool of control, http://www.oilempire.us/

[58] COINTELPRO letter from J. Edgar Hoover to Special Agent in Charge, Albany, 5 July 1968. COUNTERINTELLIGENCE PROGRAM: INTERNAL SECURITY DISRUPTION OF THE NEW LEFT.  http://www.namebase.org/foia/fbi01.html

[59] Arabesque, 9/11 Truth and Division: Disinformation, Agent Provocateurs, and False Adversaries, http://arabesque911.blogspot.com/

May 4, 2007

‘Thermite Hypothesis’ versus ‘Controlled Demolition Hypothesis’: a response to ‘The Scientific Method Applied to the Thermite Hypothesis’



‘Thermite Hypothesis’ versus ‘Controlled Demolition Hypothesis’: a response to ‘The Scientific Method Applied to the Thermite Hypothesis’

By Arabesque[1]

A review of: The Scientific Method Applied to the Thermite Hypothesis[2] by Judy Wood and Morgan Reynolds.

Wood and Reynolds have frequently been critical of Steven Jones’ research into the collapse of the World Trade Center buildings on 9/11.  Their “thermite hypothesis” paper is a series of objections against the possible use of thermite in the destruction of the World Trade Center buildings.  Many of these objections are answered elsewhere by Frank Legge.[3]   

However, there are other problems with their paper.  In particular, it is demonstrable that Wood and Reynolds distort the actual position of Steven Jones throughout their essay.  This tactic is known as a straw-man fallacy:

The Straw Man fallacy is committed when a person simply ignores a person's actual position and substitutes a distorted, exaggerated or misrepresented version of that position.[4]

The straw-man fallacy is frequently used to “win” an argument illegitimately.  It can also be used unintentionally.  However, as Wood and Reynolds have analyzed Steven Jones’ work in the past, they should know the topic they are discussing and therefore they should be aware that they are distorting the position of Steven Jones.[5]  From their arguments, it quickly becomes apparent that Wood and Reynolds are attempting to “debunk” the possibility of thermite in the destruction of the World Trade Center Towers with illegitimate arguments based on the straw-man fallacy.

Although not openly stated, their misrepresentation of Steven Jones’ position can be summarized as:

Steven Jones advocates that thermite is the only reason/evidence that the World Trade Center collapsed.[6]

This is clear from the very title of their essay (“thermite hypothesis”).

Their entire essay implies that Steven Jones has no other evidence because they fail to acknowledge any.  This is significantly misleading as Steven Jones’ theory is not exclusively a “thermite hypothesisit is a “controlled demolition hypothesis”.

From the abstract of Why Indeed did the World Trade Center Towers Completely Collapse?

In this paper, I call for a serious investigation of the hypothesis that WTC 7 and the Twin Towers were brought down, not just by impact damage and fires, but through the use of pre-positioned cutter-chargesI consider the official FEMA, NIST, and 9-11 Commission reports that fires plus impact damage alone caused complete collapses of all three buildings. And I present evidence for the controlled-demolition hypothesis, which is suggested by the available data, and can be tested scientifically, and yet has not been analyzed in any of the reports funded by the US government.[7]

There is no mention of any “thermite hypothesis”, or even thermite in the abstract of Jones’ paper that investigates the destruction of the World Trade Center Towers and Building 7.  As well, Jones’ paper gives “Thirteen Reasons to Challenge Government-sponsored Reports and Investigate the Controlled-demolition Hypothesis.”[8] Again, there is no mention of thermite in the titles of these sections.

Tellingly, the phrase “controlled demolition hypothesis” does not occur one single time in the paper by Wood and Reynolds—although “controlled demolition” makes about 6 rare appearances in a list of 30 objections.  Similarly, the phrase “thermite hypothesis” does not occur one single time in Steven Jones’ paper on the collapse of the World Trade Center Towers. 

Controlled Demolition has 11 features: all of which are argued by Jones and others[9] to be present in the collapse of the Twin Towers and Building 7:

• Sudden Onset
• Straight-Down Collapse
• Free Fall Speed
• Total Collapse
• Sliced Steel (conveniently manageable pieces)
• Pulverization of Concrete and Other Materials
• Dust Clouds
• Horizontal Ejections
• Demolition Rings
• Explosions
Molten metal

Wood and Reynolds ignore all of this and deceptively imply that Jones' hypothesis is solely based on thermite (i.e. “thermite hypothesis”).  Thermite is only a small portion of his complete hypothesis, and is mostly discussed in association with the molten metal found in the rubble of the WTC buildings.  Although Wood and Reynolds call Jones’ theory a “thermite hypothesis”, they ignore the fact that he has analyzed metal samples which strongly implicate the use of thermate.[10]

Wood and Reynolds misinterpret Steven Jones’ actual hypothesis (i.e. a straw-man fallacy) and proceed to only challenge the thermite portion of his theory.  In essence, they imply that disproving the use of thermite disproves Jones’ entire theory (i.e. controlled demolition).  This would be a false conclusion because it ignores the fact that Jones has indicated that more than one type of explosive could have been used in his theory:

I maintain that these observations [of molten metal] are consistent with the use of high-temperature cutter charges such as thermite, HMX or RDX or some combination thereof, routinely used to melt/cut/demolish steel.[11]

From an interview by Jim Fetzer (January 17, 2007):

Jim Fetzer: Q: are you suggesting both [thermate/superthermite] were used in the Twin Towers?

Steven Jones: A: “I’m suggesting that’s possible along with other explosives[12]

The authors ignore statements like these, and continuously imply that Steven Jones is arguing a “thermite-only” hypothesis. 

Wood and Reynolds:

Where is the proof that thermite has EVER been used to completely pulverize buildings in controlled demolition (not simply cleaning up debris)? The mechanisms of cutting and pulverization are mutually exclusive and thermite cuts and melts, it is not explosive. ‘Cutting requires action in one direction,’ says Jeff Strahl, a 9/11 researcher, "while pulverization requires action in all directions."[13]

Their Straw-man argument in this objection is particularly stunning.  Let’s say you have a theory. Your theory (Z) has 11 components:

  1. A
  2. B
  3. C
  4. D
  5. E
  6. F
  7. G
  8. H
  9. I
  10.  J
  11.  K (x, y, etc)

K is comprised of its own elements x and possibly others yet to be identified (y, etc). This is admitted in the theory. You have also acquired physical and visual evidence that strongly implicates that x is indeed present.

Now let’s say someone comes along and says your entire theory is x—ignoring the 11 primary elements of your theory. Imagine someone just called only one part of your theory/evidence your entirehypothesis. Imagine that they ignore the fact that x is only one component of K and can be at least be partially explained by other elements as well.  That would be a pretty impressive straw-man fallacy

Wood and Reynolds have committed this straw-man:  

Z represents Steven Jones’ “controlled demolition” hypothesis.  A-K are the 11 features of controlled demolition. K represents the molten metal.  x represents thermite/thermate, and y, etc are other explosives (i.e. RDX, HMX, etc) yet undetermined.  Although any of these explosives can explain molten metal, only a chemical thermite reaction has so far reasonably explained the presence of molten metal for weeks after 9/11. 

Thermite/thermate does not explode. 

Therefore, it would not explain any of the “explosive” features of controlled demolition!  Steven Jones has analyzed molten metal samples which strongly implicate the use of thermate:

  • He is advocating that it can explain molten metal for weeks after 9/11.
  • He is not advocating that it can entirely explain all 11 features of controlled demolition.

This is why it is incorrect to imply that disproving the use of thermate invalidates the entire controlled demolition hypothesis.  Although superthermite is explosive—Wood and Reynolds are asking specifically here: “where is the proof that thermite/thermate has EVER been used to completely pulverize buildings in controlled demolition.”[14]

In fact, explosives in combination are frequently employed in controlled demolitions.[15]  This inconvenient fact was ignored by Wood and Reynolds, and an illogical “thermite-only” straw-man fallacy is pursued unmercifully against Jones. 

I return these questions to Wood and Reynolds:

  • Where is the evidence that Steven Jones is maintaining a thermate-only hypothesis? 
  • Where is the evidence that controlled demolitions always use one type of explosive?

As well as ignoring the possibility of explosives in combination, the entire paper by Wood and Reynolds can be characterized as a straw-man fallacy because it is not necessary to know which types of explosives are used to conclude that a controlled demolition has taken place.  Although the eleven features of controlled demolition are primarily caused by explosives—we can examine these features separately to determine that a controlled demolition has occurred.  In other words, free fall speed, molten metal, and other features are independently observable from what caused them.  As an example, if we observed the Kingdome crumble to the ground (as it did in a controlled demolition), we would not need to know which types of explosives were used to know that it was a controlled demolition.[16] As David Ray Griffin has said, “No building exhibiting all the characteristics of controlled demolition has never not been a controlled demolition.[17]

The authors ask if the thermate found by Jones was used for cleanup.  This ignores that:

1.      Thermite is extremely dangerous; it cuts through steel like “a hot knife through butter.”

2.      They were trying to find survivors; any cleanup was secondary to finding the victims.

3.      Steven Jones has answered this question repeatedly in his presentations. It appears that the authors have ignored this fact.[18]

Did anyone know that there were almost no survivors in the rubble after 9/11?  The widespread use of thermite would have endangered any attempts to save lives.

The presence of molten metal[19] in the rubble of the World Trade Center buildings is argued by Jones to be very strong evidence of explosives because jet fuel fires as well as other diffuse flames are incapable of melting steel.[20] Wood and Reynolds have never objected to this assertion in their paper. 

The authors fail to rely on physical evidence to discredit Steven Jones’ thermate analysis.  Perhaps they should study some molten samples of their own to determine what could have caused “a phenomenon never before observed in building fires: eutectic reactions, which caused intergranular melting capable of turning a solid steel girder into Swiss cheese.[21] The New York Times described this as “perhaps the deepest mystery uncovered in the investigation.”[22] FEMA analyzed samples of molten metal from ground zero that had shown strong evidence of a chemical thermite reaction.[23] Indeed, this report strongly corroborates the work of Steven Jones.  Are not Wood and Reynolds interested in solving this “deep mystery”?  Why is it that Wood and Reynolds do not petition for the release of more molten metal samples held by the government in their list of 30 objections? 

VII. The Scientific Method

In this section, the authors imply that they have used the scientific method while discussing the “thermite hypothesis”.  If the scientific method does not ignore evidence, why are Judy Wood and Morgan Reynolds ignoring Steven Jones’ position about the possibility of explosives in combination with thermite variants as well as the eleven features of controlled demolition? 

Strangely, Wood and Reynolds claim that the evidence has “contradicted” the use of thermite.  Putting aside all of the aforementioned criticisms, Wood and Reynolds have made no attempt to explain how molten metal could be present for weeks at ground zero in their objections.     

VIII. Aluminum Glows

Wood and Reynolds continue with their often repeated molten aluminum straw-man fallacy.  The authors proceed to discuss molten aluminum, but curiously fail to provide any context:

He fails to account for what molten aluminum looks like if heated to the same temperatures as molten iron (1538°C).[24]

Wood and Reynolds neglect to mention that the necessary temperatures needed are impossible to reach with jet fuel fires as seen in the World Trade Center.[25] The maximum temperature of a jet fuel fire is 1000°C, far below the temperature that Wood and Reynolds say is required to get aluminum to turn orange.  In fact, jet fuel fires are not even capable of melting steel.[26] It is therefore very misleading to say that Steven Jones had not considered these temperatures (1538°C)—why would he when they are impossible to reach with temperatures from a jet fuel fire? As well, the NIST report indicates that the jet fuel fire temperatures were significantly lower than 1000°C—they did not record any evidence of jet fuel fire temperatures over 600°C.[27]

Wood and Reynolds also neglect to mention that a thermite reaction could reach the necessary temperatures to create the observed molten metal/steel that Steven Jones argues is falling outside of the South Tower just before its collapse as seen in video and photographs.[28] Some have claimed that this metal was aluminum from a plane.  Jet fuel fires can’t cause aluminum to reach the necessary temperatures to “turn orange.” A thermite reaction can reach the necessary temperatures, melt steel and account for this visual evidence.  Not only has Steven Jones found traces of thermite in molten metal samples, there is visual evidence further confirming his hypothesis. 

Conclusions:

Judy Wood and Morgan Reynolds have failed to discuss Jones’ full hypothesis in their essay, therefore they have failed to answer his full argument.

Even if the arguments presented by Wood and Reynolds in this essay were completely valid, they do not challenge Steven Jones’ controlled demolition hypothesis in any meaningful way.  Effectively, their argument attempts to disprove the type of incendiary/explosive/cutter-charge used—there is no attempt to discredit the possibility of other explosives being used.  Their list of objections completely ignores the fact that Jones’ actual theory involves explosives in combination as well as the eleven features of controlled demolition. 

Ignoring evidence is not scientific and frequently results in biased and unscientific conclusions.  Judy Wood and Morgan Reynolds are entitled to any legitimate criticisms of Steven Jones.  They are not entitled to distort his positions and present deceptive arguments.  As they have written papers on Jones’ research in the past, they have no excuse for these misleading arguments.   



[1] Arabesque, Scholars for 9/11 Truth and Justice Member and 9/11 Researcher: http://www.911blogger.com/blog/877.  

Note: This article has also been published in the Journal of 9/11 Studies: http://www.journalof911studies.com/letters/ArabesqueReplyToWoodAndReynoldsThermite.pdf

[2] Judy Wood and Morgan Reynolds, The Scientific Method Applied to the Thermite Hypothesis, December 14, 2006. 

[3] Frank Legge, A study of some issues raised in a paper by Wood & Reynolds, January 11, 2007.

[4] Definition of Straw-man Fallacy taken from http://www.nizkor.org/:

Person A has position X.

Person B presents position Y (which is a distorted version of X).

Person B attacks position Y.

Therefore X is false/incorrect/flawed.

“This sort of "reasoning" is fallacious because attacking a distorted version of a position simply does not constitute an attack on the position itself. One might as well expect an attack on a poor drawing of a person to hurt the person.” 

[5] For evidence of this fact read:

Reynolds and Wood, Why Indeed Did the WTC Buildings Disintegrate?

Reynolds and Wood, Reynolds and Wood try to help Steven E. Jones, August 27, 2006. http://nomoregames.net/

[6] No source is provided for this implied assertion.

[7] Steven Jones, Why Indeed Did the World Trade Center Buildings Completely Collapse? Page 1.  

[8] Ibid. page 5.

[9] David Ray Griffin, The Destruction of the World Trade Center: Why the Official Account Cannot Be True.  Authorized Version (with references & notes). See also:

Steven Jones, Why Indeed Did the World Trade Center Buildings Completely Collapse?, Word Document, http://www.journalof911studies.com/.

[10] Paul Watson, Scientific Analysis Proves Towers Brought Down By Incendiaries, June 20, 2006.  http://www.prisonplanet.com/using advanced techniques we're finding out what's in these samples [of iron taken from Ground Zero]—we're finding iron, sulphur, potassium and manganese—these are characteristic of a variation of thermite which is used to cut through steel very rapidly, it's called thermate.”  See also:

Griffin, The Destruction of the World Trade Center and Jones, Why Indeed Did the World Trade Center Buildings Completely Collapse?

[11] Jones, Why Indeed Did the World Trade Center Buildings Completely Collapse?  Page 6.

[12] Interview of Steven Jones by Jim Fetzer on the Dynamic Duo show on gcnlive, January 17, 2007. http://www.911podcasts.com/files/audio/JimFetzer-StevenJones_20070117.mp3   Listen to about the 83:00 mark and forward for comment about other explosives in combination with thermate/superthermite.

[13] Wood and Reynolds, The Scientific Method Applied to the Thermite Hypothesis

[14] Ibid. See Proof of Concept: Questions 2 and 3.

[15] http://www.explosionworld.com/, Did you know?  “CONCRETE VS. STEEL: In the United States and Europe, support columns in most buildings are constructed of either steel 'H-beams' or concrete (with steel reinforcing bars). Some buildings actually have both.  DID YOU KNOW that these two types of support columns require two completely different types of explosives to cause their 'failure'?”

[16] http://www.controlled-demolition.com/, Imploding the Kingdome step by step.

[17] Jim Hoffman, Review of ‘A New Standard for Deception’ A Presentation by Kevin Ryan, October 15, 2006.  http://911research.wtc7.net/

[18] Steven Jones, Answers to Objections and Questions, pages 75-76.  “Researcher Michael Berger checked with a number of steel-cutters and workers at Ground Zero. They reported that oxy-acetylene torches were used to cut the steel members -- Not thermite.  Also, reacting thermite ejects globs of molten white/orange-hot iron – would cause VERY dangerous burns! Therefore, thermite was not used in clean-up.”

[19] FEMA Report: Appendix C of the WTC Building Performance Study.  See also:

Jim Hoffman, Forensic Metallurgy: Metallurgical Examination of WTC Steel Suggests Explosiveshttp://911research.wtc7.net/

“Engineers have been trying to figure out exactly what happened… ‘Fire and the structural damage… would not explain steel members in the debris pile that appear to have been partly evaporated’” from:

James Glanz, Engineers are baffled over the collapse of 7 WTC; Steel members have been partly evaporated, New York Times, November 29. 2001.  See also: http://georgewashington.blogspot.com/2005/12/why-was-there-molten-metal-under.html

[20] Jones, Why Indeed Did the World Trade Center Buildings Completely Collapse? page 6.

[21] Joan Killough-Miller, The ‘Deep Mystery’ of Melted Steel, WPI Transformations, Spring 2002.  See also: 

Hoffman, Forensic Metallurgy: Metallurgical Examination of WTC Steel Suggests Explosives.

[22] Ibid.

[23] FEMA Report: Appendix C of the WTC Building Performance Study

[24]  Wood and Reynolds, The Scientific Method Applied to the Thermite Hypothesis.

[25] “In combustion science, there are three basic types of flames, namely, a jet burner, a premixed flame, and a diffuse flame.... A fireplace is a diffuse flame burning in air, as was the WTC fire. Diffuse flames generate the lowest heat intensities of the three flame types... The maximum flame temperature increase for burning hydrocarbons (jet fuel) in air is, thus, about 1000 °C -- hardly sufficient to melt steel at 1500 °C. Taken from: Eagar, T. W. and Musso, C. (2001). “Why Did the World Trade Center Collapse?” Science, Engineering, and Speculation”, Journal of the Minerals, Metals and Materials Society, 53/12:8-11 (2001).

[26] Ibid.

[27] Hoffman, Review of ‘A New Standard for Deception’ A Presentation by Kevin Ryan.  The NIST reports low fire temperatures.   

“Paint tests indicated low steel temps (480 F [or 280 C]) "despite pre-collapse exposure to fire"

“Microstructure tests showed no steel reached critical (half-strength) values (600 C)” http://911research.wtc7.net/reviews/kevin_ryan/newstandard.html

However, these recorded observations by NIST ignore the fact that there was molten metal as reported by the FEMA report.  This is hardly surprising since NIST called molten metal “irrelevant” to their investigation.  See here:

Jim Hoffman, NIST's World Trade Center FAQ A Reply to the National Institute for Standards and Technology'sAnswers to Frequently Asked Questions’.  August 30, 2006. 

[28] Jones, Why Indeed Did the World Trade Center Buildings Completely Collapse? Pages 12-16.